We examine how the new starting rules in 2023 will negatively affect Charlie Morton of the Atlanta Braves.
Atlanta Braves Players will be operating under some new rules in 2023. Yes, big changes are on the horizon like shift restrictions, pitch clock, and bigger rules. Today, however, we will focus on the potential impact of the new starting rules on Charlie Morton.
How will takeoff rules change in 2023?
Starting in 2023, pitchers will only be allowed to loose rubber twice per plate appearance. If they exceed two disengagements, the thrower will be charged with an obstruction and the runner will advance. The pitcher can only attempt a third thrower move if it results in an out.
If the pitcher attempts to catch a runner twice, he will no longer be able to carry them. The runner is free to run knowing that there will be no more movement to carry him.
Pitchers will also have to be more judicious in their attempts to pitch as each failed attempt gives the runner more confidence that they will not pitch again.
How will these rule changes affect shooters who have slow turnover times?
In Major League Baseball, the difference between 1.3 seconds at home plate and 1.5 seconds can be all a good baserunner needs to know they can go. It will take the fast baserunner about 3.3 seconds to steal second base. The MLB pop average The time (the time it takes for the catcher to get the ball from his glove to the player’s expected receiving point) is 2.0 seconds. This leaves little wiggle room for pitchers to be slow at the plate.
What are the times of the “Brave Hunters” pop music?
Travis d’Arnaud averaged 2.0 seconds and William Contreras finished at 1.97 in 2022.
Quick math: If it takes the runner 3.2 seconds to break their lead and get to second and it takes the catcher 2.0 seconds to get there, the pitcher should have a delivery time of 1.3 to get close.
In an article in Baseball America, Anthony Jose (77 MiLB steals in 2011) said that stealing bases “has nothing to do with the catcher. It’s about the pitcher and his times.”
The article goes on to talk about the importance of the takeoff motion in mathematics that results in a base being stolen. Essentially, a pitcher with good action can delay the runner by one tenth or twentieth of a second.
What is the importance of a tenth of a second?
Most teams want their pitchers in 1.3 seconds or less from time to home. A slow pitcher will run in 1.5 seconds to hit a home run.
“If you hear 1.5-1.6, don’t worry about a good jump, just go. No matter if your catcher has the best arm in the world or not, if it’s 1.75 they can’t get you,” a top-ranked Lake Elsinore outfielder said Rico Noel. “I say 95 percent of the time you steal the bag from the pitcher. You’re not worried about the catcher. If it’s above 1.3, you’ve got it.”
In 2016, the Angels were leading the league in transition runs. Mike Trout informed us That they’ve had to experience more catches than other teams because starting pitchers have a lot of slow turnover times.
Capture attempts help slow runners in basic baths.
Why Charlie Morton will give up more steals with transfer rules for 2023
I can’t find any good data on pitcher-to-the-plate delivery times on AM radio, the dictionary, or the Internet. statast has it Some interesting data about pitcher pace If you want to take a look though it’s not exactly what we’re looking for here. So, I decided to take a look at which of the starting shooters gave up the most steals, and that’s Charlie Morton. Next, I used a very scientific approach of using an actual stopwatch to time a few Uncle Charlie times.
Hey… this is what third core trainers use. Her accuracy in turnover times and stopwatch use can be the difference between a stolen base and an outfield per second. That’s at least one reason why they shouldn’t drink alcohol in the stash between innings anymore. Full disclosure, this was the first time I used a stopwatch since I was a gym teacher in the 80’s and I used to drink as much as when I was a gym teacher.
Charlie Morton gave up 10 stolen bases in 2022 as only two runners were caught stealing. He has managed three successful extractions. Kenley Jansen Morton was equal in terms of giving up steals, but a) Kenley is widely known as a stolen base waiting to happen due to his slowness at the plate, b) he has a bigger problem with the impending pitch clock, and c) he isn’t likely to be a stout next year.
I took August 21st against the Astros as a sample. Morton gave up two steals in that start. Kyle Tucker had his 19th steal of the season. At bat time, Morton threw him for the first time. Next year, threatening a second kick-off attempt would be illegal, unless it resulted in a kick-out.
Morton took 1.5 seconds to deliver the ball home with Tucker on first. One of Morton Crame’s strengths is his curve ball. He throws it up a lot, you know. The curve takes longer to get to the plate than a fastball which is part of the reason why it is so easy for him to steal. He finished tied for 20th in the league for most steals against. Morton’s 1.5-second delivery plus 2.0 seconds for the catcher’s pop time gives the base Morton 3.5 seconds to get to the second.
If you’ve ever seen a stolen base, it’s milliseconds that decide the outcome. Morton gives this break to the runners. Without the ability to get off the mound, Morton should find himself in more situations where the runner can take advantage and pass the bag in 2023.
Get out your stopwatch!
Let me know what you think in the comments. Will Morton give up an excessive amount of steals next season due to his reliance on a slow repeat curve?