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Injuries are the key to betting on this match (20 December)

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Grizzlies vs. the odds nuggets

grizzly Prospect -115
Nuggets Prospect -105
Above under 234 (-110 / -110)
time 10 p.m. ET
television TNT
cross odds Kings. Get up to a minute NBA prospects here.

The Grizzlies and Nuggets face off in a two-on-one rivalry Western Conferencebest diff.

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Can Ja Morant lead the Grizzlies to victory, or will Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets take the lead in the West?

Let’s break it down.

Memphis Grizzlies get to balance with JJJ

The Grizzlies are left without Desmond Bunny (toe), but the team has played admirably in his absence and sits atop the Western Conference with a 19-10 record. The most impressive thing about the Grizzlies was their defense. They have the fourth best modified defensive rating (109.8), which landed them the fifth best adjusted net rating (+4.3).

While their defense was excellent, the Grizzlies’ offense is also strong. They are tenth in the modified offensive rating. Their defense is what fuels their offense. One of their biggest strengths with Morant at the helm is their transition attack. They hit the transition on 16.9% of their possessions which is the fifth highest frequency in the league as they score goals 4 bonus points for every 100 possessions With this type of offensive attack (4th most added attack), as per glass cleaning.

With the return of “JJJ,” Jaren Jackson Jr., the Grizzlies were able to play at a much higher level on both sides of the ball. He has a difference of +10.6 points and has been positive on both sides of the ball. Its defensive effect cannot be underestimated. His uncanny shot-blocking ability coupled with his ability to defend on the inside and on the perimeter creates mismatches between opposing teams, which is the main reason why he has become firmly established in the Defensive Player of the Year conversation.


Defending the responsibility of the Denver Nuggets

Important Nuggets injury report. They have listed the following players: Nikola Jokic (Knee – Possible), Jamal Murray (Injury Management – Questionable), Michael Porter Jr. (Heel – Questionable), Kentavius ​​Caldwell Pope (Leg – Questionable) and Jeff Green (Back) – Doubtful).

There are obviously layers to this report. If Jokic is out, that team Bad, and I would consider betting them on almost any number; Worth 5 points mushroom.

As for Murray, if he misses, which is unlikely given that the Nuggets’ next game isn’t until Friday, Bones Hyland will likely get into the starting lineup, and Ash Smith will return to the rotation. Bones has improved this season, but Murray has been excellent this year while showing flashes of brilliance on his comeback from injury. The player who should see the biggest increase without Murray is probably Aaron Gordon, who gets a bit more use in his absence.

While Nuggets can score in every sense of the word anyone With Jokic at the helm, they were bad on the defensive side of the ball. The Nuggets have the third worst adjusted defensive rating (115.6), and that essentially nullifies the fifth best adjusted offensive rating (115.8). The defense simply can’t keep up with the offense. This is the main reason Denver has struggled against the best teams in the league who are able to take advantage of defensive mistakes.

On the season, the Nuggets are 2-4 (-12 points per 100) against the league’s top 10 teams in point differential, per cleaning the glasses.

Choose Grizzlies Nuggets

If Nuggets were perfectly healthy, this would be a more convincing concoction. Right now, not only are the Grizzlies healthy, but they’ve performed well against the top teams in the league.

While both teams may be able to score, I trust the Grizzlies defense will provide enough shortstops to help the offense come out in transition against this porous Denver defense.

This streak has already swung out of the open, but I think there is still value with the Grizzlies and I will support them to win on the road.

pluck or pluck: Grizzlies (-115 at Draft Kings) | Bet up to -2

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