Player Predictions for Fantasy Football Week 12 (2022)


In this piece are my personal NFL Week 12 projections for every fan and prop related player (unless I missed one here or there).


This week, I will be keeping the following schedule for my predictions.

  • Tuesday: Make the first swipe of player drops in the morning.
  • Thursday: Do the initial update the morning before the first Thanksgiving game.
  • Saturday Sunday: Do the final update late Saturday night or early Sunday morning.

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After the last update, if you want to see a newer set of player predictions, check out our official Week 12 of FantasyPros forecastswhich we at BettingPros use to support Prop betting cheat sheet And the Prop bet analystboth of which are wonderful resources.

While you can use these predictions to make fancy decisions, I also recommend that you refer to the following.

NFL Week 12 Player Predictions

My predictions are organized by expected fantasy points. I use the FantasyPros half default PPR recording settings. Note that my expected fantasy points include 2-point conversions and misses (and production passes for Tesum Hill), but I have not included these projections in the following tables to save space.

After my topical arrangement, I added some player notes.

Note that my predictions are different from my ratings, which are more intuitive and done manually. With my ratings, I try to take both the positive and negative aspects into account. I think about the scope of results and potential expected value. I am currently number 10 in FantasyPros Accuracy Contest After finishing 14th last year. My predictions are pretty much automated and generated using formulas in a spreadsheet. With my forecasts, I try to predict only the average.

NFL Week 12 QB Predictions


NFL Week 12 QB Notes

Josh Allen (BUF) against. The: Over the past month, Allen (950-4-6 passing, 5.9 y/a) has looked more like himself in the 2018-19 season (6.2 y/a) than he is dominating in the 2020-21 season (7.6 y/a)—but he’s had Elite fantasy floor with a 24-226-2 rush since Week 8. For the season, Allen remains the No. 2 quarterback with 25.8 FPPG (according to our Fantasy Football Leaders Report). The Lions rank first in most fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks (24.0 FPPG, per Imagination Points Report Allowed). For his career, Allen is a 20-11-2 ATS on the road (per work network).

Gino Smith (SEA) vs. LV: Smith is No. 1 in completion percentage (72.8%) and No. 4 in EPA + CPOE composite (0.149) and AY/A (8.3) — just as we all predicted before the season started. Smith is now a Comeback Player of the Year favorite (-135 at Kings). At home in Seattle, Smith is 5-1 ATS and should be rested and ready in Week 11. Smith has a five-star match Against the Raiders, who rank 32nd in the EPA’s defensive touchdown team (0.224) and DVOA passers-by (32.5%, per Football outsiders).

NFL Week 12 RB Predictions

NFL Week 12 RB Notes

Kenneth Walker (SEA) vs. LV: Since No. 1 RB Rashad Benny (Leg, IR) Suffering from a season-ending injury in Week 5, Walker rushed for 618 yards and seven touchdowns on 106 carries and 17 scores in six games. Walker should be fresh from Week 11, and could see an extra carry as a home favorite (-195 per hour) betrivers). The Raiders are fourth in most fantasy points allowed for a running back (24.0 FPPG).

Jeff Wilson (MIA) against. the love: In his first two games with the Dolphins, Wilson knocked out (70-for-46), outside chances (34-for-23) and produced (215 yards, 2 touchdowns for 113 yards, 2 touchdowns) once and–a future teammate Rahim Mostert In weeks 9-10. Wilson should know more of the playbook from Week 11, and he could have a great workload as a huge home favorite (-600 in betMGM). Texas is #1 in most fantasy points allowed (28.9 FPPG). The Dolphins are 11-4 ATS at home with the QB Toa Tagovailoa for his career.

Check out my Week 12 early betting preview on Dolphins vs..

Fantasy Football Trade Central

NFL Week 12 WR Predictions

NFL Week 12 WR Notes

Terek Hill (MIA) against. the love: Hill is No. 1 in the league with 1,148 receiving yards, 81 receptions overall, 47 receptions for 10-plus yards and 20 receptions for 20-plus yards (each Advanced WR Stats Report). It’s also #1 with a target rate of 22% per shot (per Prop betting cheat sheet). Hill is rightfully the non-center frontrunner for Offensive Player of the Year (+250 in Fandel).

T Higgins (CIN) TEN: Excluding the two contests in which he was significantly affected by injuries (Weeks 1 and 5), Higgins went 48-685-3 conceding 69 goals in eight games. No. 1 WR Ja’Marr Chase (hip) Out since week 8 and not certain to return to action for week 12. The Titans are third in most fantasy points allowed to wide receivers (33.6 FPPG) and handled injury CBs Caleb Farley (Back, IR), Christian Fulton (hamstrings) f Elijah Molden (thigh) and fs Amani Hooker (shoulder) f Lonnie Johnson (hamstrings).

NFL Week 12 TE Projections

NFL Week 12 TE Notes

Travis Kelsey (KC) etc. s: Kelce is the No. 1 tight end with 18.9 FPPG, well ahead of him Mark Andrews At No. 2 (12.2): The edge Kelce provides in position is brutal. Kelce is the No. 1 spotter with 21 red zone targets, 34 10-yard receptions and 14 20-plus-yard receptions (each Prop betting cheat sheet). For Kelce, matching is almost irrelevant.

Foster Morrow (LV) At sea: In his five matches this year without the top seed Darren Waller (hamstring, IR), Moreau receiving 15-177-1 on 26 targets. The Seahawks are second in most fantasy points allowed to tight ends (16.5 FPPG).

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