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Trea Turner Free Agency Landing Sites: Why the Phillies, Dodgers, and More Are in a Prime Location for the Star Shortstop

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Last season, Trea Turner named shortstop one of the greatest regular season teams in baseball history – 2022 Los Angeles Dodgers. In addition to providing solid defense in this vital position, in his 29-year-old campaign Turner batted .298/.343/.466 (121 ppg) with 21 home runs and 39 doubles in 160 games. Over the past three seasons, Turner at the plate has had an OPS+ of 137. Also, he’s still an elite base stealer.

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Turner now also happens to be a free agent, and given his wide range advantage, it’s no surprise that he ranks high on our list of free agents this season. That’s what we wrote in ranking Turner at number four on our Top 50 list:

Turner has been the second-best shortstop in the majors for the past three seasons, posting a higher average strikeout than all but Fernando Tatis Jr., whose production has halved his number of plate appearances due to injury and suspension. He is a dynamic offensive player, an elite class sprinter with above-average raw strength who is capable of posting 20-20 efforts per season. Turner has an aggressive approach to the plate that sees him expand his territory with ease, but he hasn’t worked against him yet, and besides, the mishit balls are an opportunity for him to grab one. The most disturbing thing about Turner’s game is his defense. He committed 16 errors last season, by far the most attempted shortstop by a free agent. (Carlos Correa, Xander Bogaerts, and Dansby Swanson combined for 26.) Fouls are an imperfect measure, though it’s reasonable to think he might need to slide to the other side of the bag in the future (a position he already knows, since I played there out of respect for Corey Seeger ). Regardless, Turner has been a very productive hitter throughout his career, and there’s no reason to expect that to change soon.

So, in anticipation of numbers that will be a hot market for his services – a deal worth close to $300 million seems likely – we’re here to rank all 30 teams based on how likely they are to sign Turner this season. This, of course, is subject to change, and surprises are always possible. For now, though, here’s how things look in the Turner market.

Level 1: It does not happen

30. Pittsburgh Pirates
29. Oakland Athletics
28. Cincinnati Reds
27. Kansas City Royals
26. Colorado Rockies
25. Miami Marlins
24. Washington Nationals
23. Detroit Tigers

These teams are in various stages of rebuilding and are therefore choosing to be uncompetitive at the moment. In addition, most of these teams have owners who are not willing to invest in product at the level required to sign a player like Turner.

Level 2: Not really relevant

22. Cleveland Guardians
21. Tampa Bay Rays
20. Houston Astros
19. Texas Rangers
18. San Diego Padres
17. Milwaukee Brewers

While any team could be greatly improved by adding a player like Turner, these teams are largely in the midfield. As such, they are not likely to swim Turner waters absent some kind of trade opening up a place.

Level 3: Possibly, but it’s hard to see


16. Chicago White Sox
15th. Minnesota Twins
14. Los Angeles Angels
13. Toronto Blue Jays

With these clubs, there is a need that Turner fulfills (and some after that), but such a pairing is complicated by the possibility of roster priorities being elsewhere or unwillingness on the part of the ownership.

Level 2: Watch them

12. Arizona Diamondbacks
11. Baltimore Orioles

These two teams are hardly the favorites for Turner’s services, but thanks to the need and potential effort towards contention this winter, they’re worth keeping an eye on on this front. The O’s are particularly interesting when it comes to Turner, but it’s hard to rank them with the main contenders just yet.

Level 1: Favorites

10. St. Louis Cardinals
The Cardinals feel comfortable with Tommy Edman as the starting shortstop, and it’s a sensible approach given their offseason priority is adding a strong left-handed catcher and batter in the outfield or at the DH. All that said, Turner remains a prospect for the NL Central Champions. Turner’s signing would allow Edman to promote St. Louis’ starting second place or return to his “Swiss Army knife” role while maintaining his day-to-day presence in the lineup. It’s not an exaggeration to think the Cardinals could be a good fit for Turner.

9. Atlanta Braves
Obviously, the only way for that to happen is if Swanson inks elsewhere and leaves a short gap that the Braves are willing to pay up to fill. Turner may not be Swanson’s equal for the gauntlet, but he’s a much better producer on offense and a better player overall. There is some question as to whether Atlanta would be willing to make such a big swing even in Swanson’s absence.

8. Chicago Cubs
The Cubs say they will invest in the roster this winter after not doing so for some time. They need improvements all around and the shortstop is definitely one area of ​​need. The Cubs may prefer running back Carlos Correa due to him being younger than Turner, but Turner is sure to be on their radar as well.

7. Seattle Mariners
The Mariners remain, in word and deed, committed to J.P. Crawford at shortstop, but they have an interest in top-level shortstops willing to move to second base, where there is a clear need for promotion. It’s definitely worth remembering that after Turner was traded to the Dodgers during the 2021 season, he actually moved to second base so Corey Seager could stay at shortstop. However, free agency carries with it greater autonomy, so it’s not certain Turner would still be willing to make such a transition. Of the four premium free agent shortstops—Turner, Carlos Correa, Xander Bogaerts, and Dansby Swanson—only Turner has spent time as a major fielder.

6. New York Mets
The Mets are another team with little interest in Turner as a second baseman. Francisco Lindor is among the best shortstops in baseball, and he’s not going anywhere. Turner would be an excellent fit at second base for the Mets, though, and they have the resources (and an owner who actually cares about winning). The priority could be keeping Jacob deGrom or signing the likes of Justin Verlander to replace him, but Turner also appears to be on the radar.

5. New York Yankees
The Yankees’ first order of business is to re-sign Aaron Judge. However, if this does not materialize or if the Americans decide to use more of their essentially unlimited resources, then Turner will be a useful addition. Shortstop was a problem last season due to Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s inability to hit against major league pitches. If Kiner-Falefa is transferred or if the Yankees decide it’s best to deploy him as a backup, they’ll be better off. Turner instead of the status quo would greatly improve the Yankees’ chances of winning the World Series.

4. San Francisco Giants
Brandon Crawford appears to remain firmly entrenched in the position, but Farhan Zaidi, the chief decision maker, said recently that he has been in touch with pro bono agent representatives. He may have a desire to move away from the position Out of respect for Crawford. It is not stated if this group included Turner, but what is known is that the Giants desperately needed a producer like Turner in the lineup.

3. Boston Red Sox
The supposed departure of Bogarts, himself a free agent, opens the way for Boston. (Really, Bogart’s days at center must be over, anyway.) Obviously, Turner would fill that gap nicely and provide a great defensive upgrade. The Red Sox’s commitment to fielding a competitive team isn’t in question these days, but if they decide to tap into their vast resources, Turner could be a real driver for them.

2. Los Angeles Dodgers
It’s not clear the current Dodgers are prioritizing a Turner reunion. They are the incumbents, however, and Turner has been a reliable performer the past season and a half. At the moment, Gavin Lux is slated as the shortstop in LA, but that leaves a hole in Lux’s 2022 spot for second base (unless you buy regular Chris Taylor at center). Needless to say, Andrew Friedman doesn’t usually leave roster holes unfilled. The path of least resistance is to pay Turner’s running prices.

1. Philadelphia Phillies
There has been a great deal of hype surrounding this potential pairing. Yes, Bryson Stott will be a long-term presence in Philly, but Turner will be a huge upgrade with the bat at the shortstop position. Also, Stott could have a clear path to playing second base now that Jean Segura is linked elsewhere. Also, Turner is said to be staying close to his predecessor Washington Nationals Teammate Bryce Harper, who of course now plays for the Phillies, and Turner are said to prefer moving back to the East Coast. Mostly, though, this is a player who fills a need for a club that have shown a clear willingness to invest in the roster in recent years.

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